Options Position Sizing Calculator
The fastest way to blow up an account is oversizing. This calculator tells you exactly how many contracts you can safely sell at any strike price.
How to Use This Calculator
Enter your total account size, the max percentage you'll risk on one position (I use 5%), and the strike price of the put you're looking at. The calculator shows your max contract count, total capital committed, and expected premium income at that size.
The Kelly Criterion section shows the mathematically optimal size based on your win rate and average win/loss ratio. For most wheel traders, full Kelly suggests more than you should actually risk. Use half-Kelly or quarter-Kelly. Trust me on this.
Play with the risk percentage slider. The goal is simple: find the highest contract count where a worst-case scenario on that single position only causes a manageable drawdown. Not a portfolio-ending one.
When to Use This Calculator
I check this before every single trade. No exceptions.
- Before selling any new contract: Takes 10 seconds. Prevents the #1 mistake in options selling — oversizing. I lost 80% in one day early on because too much capital was in one position. Never again.
- After your account size changes: Big win? Bad assignment? Added capital? Recalculate. Your contract count should scale with your account, not stay fixed from when you started.
- When switching to a pricier stock: A $200 stock takes 4x the capital of a $50 stock per contract. Make sure you're not accidentally concentrating your whole account in one name.
- Building your portfolio: Running 6-8 simultaneous wheel positions? Enter each strike and target percentage to make sure total deployment fits your risk budget. I keep 50-60% in cash at all times.
Position Sizing for the Wheel Strategy
Position sizing is the most important decision you make as an option seller. More important than strike selection. More important than DTE. Sell too many contracts relative to your account and a high-probability strategy becomes a one-bad-trade wipeout. I learned this the hard way.
The 5% Rule
Never allocate more than 5% of your account to a single underlying. Conservative? Use 3%. Aggressive? Some stretch to 10%, but I've seen that blow up. At 5%, even if a stock drops 35% after assignment, your portfolio takes a ~1.75% hit. That stings. It doesn't kill you.
Real example: $100,000 account at 5% = $5,000 max per position. On a $50 strike put, that's 1 contract ($50 x 100 = $5,000). At 10% you could sell 2, but now a single bad move affects twice as much capital. I stay at 5%.
Kelly Criterion and Optimal Sizing
If you want the math-nerd approach, the Kelly criterion calculates optimal bet size from your edge and win rate: f* = (bp - q) / b. With a 75% win rate on CSPs, full Kelly says size aggressively. Don't. Full Kelly assumes infinite trades and no emotions. Use half-Kelly or quarter-Kelly. In practice, half-Kelly lands pretty close to the 5% rule anyway.
Diversification Across Underlyings
Sizing is half the equation. Diversification is the other half. Five $50 stock puts at 5% each = 25% deployed. That's fine. But if all five are tech stocks, one sector sell-off hits them all at once. Spread across sectors — tech, healthcare, financials, consumer staples. Stagger expirations so everything doesn't expire the same week.
I run 6-8 positions at 5% each, deploying 30-40% of my account. The rest stays in cash for adjustments, rolling, and new opportunities after pullbacks. If you're 80%+ deployed, you have no room to maneuver when things go wrong. And things will go wrong.
When to Adjust Position Size
Recalculate whenever your account value changes — after a big win, after assignment, or at the start of each month. As your account grows, your contract count at a given strike naturally goes up. After a drawdown, it goes down. That's the point. It automatically prevents you from compounding losses.
Key Formulas
Max Capital per Position = Account Size × Max Risk %
Capital per Contract = Strike Price × 100
Max Contracts = ⌊Max Capital / Capital per Contract⌋
Kelly Criterion: f* = (bp − q) / b
Frequently Asked Questions
How many contracts should I sell on one stock?
Take 5% of your account. Divide by the strike price times 100. That's your max contract count. With a $100,000 account at 5% risk, you can sell 1 contract on a $50 strike put ($5,000 capital required). Simple math that keeps you from blowing up.
What's the 5% rule?
Never put more than 5% of your account into a single underlying. If that stock tanks 40% after you get assigned, your portfolio only takes a 2% hit. Painful, but survivable. Conservative traders cap at 3%. Aggressive traders stretch to 10%, but I've seen 10% end badly.
How does the Kelly criterion apply to selling options?
Kelly calculates the mathematically optimal bet size: f* = (bp - q) / b, where b is profit/loss ratio, p is win probability, q is loss probability. For CSP sellers with 75% win rates, full Kelly suggests aggressive sizing. Don't do full Kelly. Half-Kelly or quarter-Kelly smooths out the drawdowns. Full Kelly looks great on paper until a bad streak hits.
How many stocks should I wheel at once?
I run 6-8 simultaneous positions across different sectors, deploying about 30-40% of my account. The rest stays in cash for adjustments, new opportunities after pullbacks, and rolling. If you're deployed at 80%+, one bad week can wreck everything.
Should I resize after a loss?
Always. After a drawdown, recalculate based on your current account value. Your contract count drops automatically, which prevents you from compounding losses. This is how you survive losing streaks. As your account grows, you can size back up gradually.
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Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. All calculations are estimates — actual results will vary. Not financial advice. Full disclosure